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FOREX-Dollar rises on upbeat retail sales data, euro falls
Published at 16/07/2019 at 15:55

* Weak ZEW investor reading put pressure on euro

* Sterling falls below $1.24 for the first time since April 2017

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019

(Updates market action, changes dateline, previous LONDON)

By Richard Leong

NEW YORK, July 16 (Reuters) - The dollar rose against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as surprisingly strong growth in U.S. retail sales in June soothed jitters about the American economy and trimmed expectations the Federal Reserve may embark on a deep interest rate cut later this month.

The greenback strengthened versus the euro due to data that pointed to a deterioration in confidence among German investors prompted by the trade conflict between China and the United States and political tensions with Iran.

The British pound fell to six-month lows against the euro and a 27-month trough versus the dollar as Conservative Party members Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, vying to be Britain's next prime minister, were seen to be toughening their line on Brexit negotiations. Investors are worried about the rising risk of a no-deal exit from the European Union.

"An improved U.S. economic outlook should provide some fuel for further dollar gains," said Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.

At 10:44 a.m. (1444 GMT), an index that tracks the dollar against a group of six currencies was up 0.39% at 97.312 after touching 97.361, the highest in four sessions.

Recent U.S. economic data have on balance beat expectations. Concerns about the drag from global trade disputes and sluggish inflation among developed economies, however, have led policymakers to consider cutting interest rates and/or embarking on bond purchases to boost investor confidence and business activities.

The U.S. Commerce Department said retail sales rose 0.4% in June, exceeding the 0.1% increase forecast among analysts polled by Reuters.

Last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted in testimonies before Congress that the central bank was ready to "act as appropriate" to support the current U.S. expansion, which is the longest on record.

U.S. interest rate futures implied traders fully expect the Fed to lower key lending rates by at least a quarter point at its July 30-31 policy meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch program.

Traders also expect the European Central Bank to move policy rates deeper into negative later this year as the euro zone economy has been struggling.

Earlier Tuesday, the ZEW Institute said its monthly survey showed economic sentiment among German investors fell to -24.5 in July from -21.1 the month before.

The euro was down 0.38% at $1.1215 and 0.09% lower at 121.35 yen.

The single currency, however, was up 0.54% at 90.43 pence

after touching a six-month peak at 90.43 earlier Tuesday.

Sterling fell below $1.24 for the first time since April 2017. It was 0.91% lower at $1.2403. ========================================================

Currency bid prices at 10:46AM (1446 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change


Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1216 $1.1257 -0.36% -2.21% +1.1263 +1.1208

Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.1700 107.9000 +0.25% -1.90% +108.2600 +107.8300

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 121.34 121.47 -0.11% -3.87% +121.6800 +121.1000

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9873 0.9845 +0.28% +0.60% +0.9886 +0.9837

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2405 1.2514 -0.89% -2.76% +1.2520 +1.2399

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3028 1.3047 -0.15% -4.47% +1.3064 +1.3028

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.7028 0.7039 -0.16% -0.30% +0.7044 +0.7024


Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.1073 1.1082 -0.08% -1.61% +1.1094 +1.1058

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.9039 0.8993 +0.51% +0.61% +0.9042 +0.8994

NZ NZD= 0.6706 0.6716 -0.15% -0.16% +0.6737 +0.6708


Dollar/Norway NOK= 8.5457 8.5407 +0.06% -1.08% +8.5684 +8.5367

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.5859 9.6150 -0.30% -3.23% +9.6310 +9.5886

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.3758 9.3533 -0.16% +4.60% +9.4026 +9.3481

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.5175 10.5340 -0.16% +2.47% +10.5464 +10.5198

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ GRAPHIC-Bets on bold first rate-cut from the Fed GRAPHIC-Bets on bold first rate-cut from the Fed interactive


(Additional reporting by Tommy Wilkes in LONDON Editing by Angus MacSwan, Ed Osmond and Jonathan Oatis)

((; +1 646 223 6313; Reuters Messaging:; Twitter @RichardLeong2))