AIB Economic Research Unit

Daily Commentary 

  • Sterling weaker ahead of election

    Sterling opens this morning holding a weaker tone, not helped by opinion polls showing a further tightening in the Conservative’s lead ahead of the June 8th vote. Cable (GBP/USD) has fallen below $1.29, while EUR/GBP is trading up near the 87p mark. Meanwhile, the eur Read More..
    May 26, 2017 08:06

Weekly Market Brief

  • 22nd-26th May 2017

    Dollar gains are unwinding, with little sign yet of Mr Trump being able to implement his fiscal... Read More..
    May 19, 2017 02:57
  • 15th-19th May 2017

    Risk appetite has returned to markets in the past month, but... Read More..
    May 12, 2017 03:17

Special Updates

  • Brexit Update - May 2017

    This is a summary of the positions and priorities that will underpin Ireland’s engagement in the Brexit negotiations. Read More..
    May 03, 2017 04:21
  • Brexit Update - February 2017

    Downside risks remain for sterling next year as the exit negotiations come to a head... Read More..
    February 13, 2017 11:44

Global Economy & Financial Markets

Economic & Financial Forecasts


Irish Economy Watch

  • May 2017

    The services PMI rose to 61.1 in April, a 10-month high. This indicates that the sector... Read More..
    May 11, 2017 08:05

Forex & IR Monthly

  • May 2017

    Euro gains ground as political concerns ease and economy gains momentum... Read More..
    May 11, 2017 04:12

Interest Rate Forecasts

  • May 2017

    See the latest Interest Rate Forecasts from AIB. Read More..
    May 11, 2017 04:13

Housing Market Bulletin

  • March 2017

    Reacceleration in house prices, while supply remains low Read More..
    March 23, 2017 04:05

ECB Watch

  • April 2017

    Any moves towards monetary tightening are still a long way off... Read More..
    April 27, 2017 03:35

Forex Forecasts

  • May 2017

    See the latest Exchange Rate Forecasts from AIB Read More..
    May 11, 2017 04:14

Irish Economic Updates

  • March 2017

    The recently published CSO National Accounts for 2016 show that GDP grew by 5.2%... Read More..
    March 15, 2017 09:38

BoE Watch

  • May 2017

    Contracts indicate that the market is expecting a rate hike in early 2019. However, we think... Read More..
    May 11, 2017 04:10

Global Economic Forecasts

  • December 2016

    See the latest Global Economy Forecasts from AIB Read More..
    December 21, 2016 02:43

Irish Economy Presentations

  • May 2017

    Latest slide pack detailing the performance of the Irish economy. Read More..
    May 16, 2017 11:04

Fed Watch

  • May 2017

    The May FOMC meeting showed that the Fed is keeping its options open regarding the timing of its next rate hike... Read More..
    May 04, 2017 11:27

Irish Economic Forecasts

  • December 2016

    See the latest Irish Economic Forecast Table from AIB Read More..
    December 22, 2016 10:05

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Oliver Mangan
Chief Economist

John Fahey
Senior Economist

Dara Turnbull